Ian Lustick

Selected Books

• Paradigm Lost:  From Two-State Solution to One-State Reality. Philadelphia:  University of Pennsylvania Press, 2019.  Buy this book from the publisher.
• Trapped in the War on Terror. Philadelphia: University of Pennsylvania Press, 2006. (Buy this book from the publisher)
• For the Land and the Lord: Jewish Fundamentalism in Israel. New York: Council on Foreign Relations, 1988. (Buy this book from Amazon)
• Unsettled States, Disputed lands: Britain and Ireland, France and Algeria, Israel and the West Bank-Gaza. Ithaca: Cornell University Press, 1993. (Buy this book from the publisher)
• State Building in British Ireland and French Algeria. Berkeley: University of California, 1985. 

Selected Articles

• "Israel on the Cusp:  Democracy in Peril or an Opportunity for Regime Change," Israel Studies Review, Vol. 39, no. 1 pp. 83-103.
• "Old and New Strategies for Exploiting Structural Change in Palestine/Israel: A Review Essay," Palestine/Israel Review, March 2024. (Books by Hillel Cohen, Amal Jamal, and Shlomo Sand and how they relate to the one-state reality)
• "What and Where is Israel:  Time for a Gestalt Shift," in The One State Reality:  What Is Israel/Palestine? Michael Barnett, nathan J. Brown, Marc Lynch, and Shibley Telhami, eds. (Ithaca:  Cornell University Press, 2023) pp. 33-50.
• Ian S. Lustick, "Annexation in right-wing Israeli discourse--The case of Ribonut," Frontiers in Political Science, September 20, 2022.
• Ian S. Lustick and Phillip E. Tetlock, “The Simulation Manifesto:  The Limits of Brute-Force Empiricism in Geopolitical Forecasting,” Futures & Foresight (2021)
• Ian S. Lustick. "The Peace Process Carousel: The Israel Lobby and the Failure of American Diplomacy," Middle East Journal, Vol. 74, no. 2 (Summer 2020)
• “When do institutions suddenly Collapse?  Zones of knowledge and the likelihood of political cascades,” Quantity and Quality (2019) (with Dan Miodownik)
• Ian S. Lustick, “The Red Thread of Israel’s ‘Demographic Problem,’” Middle East Policy, Vol. XXVI, no. 1 (Spring 2019) pp. 141-149.
• "The Balfour Declaration a Century Later: Accidentally Relevant" Middle East Policy Vol. XXIV, No.4, Winter 2017
• Ian Lustick, Miguel Garces, and Thomas McCauley, “An Agent-Based Model of Counterfactual Opportunities for Reducing Atrocities in Syria, 2011-2014,” Simon-Skjodt Center for the Prevention of Genocide, Series of Occasional Papers, No. 5 (August 2017)
• “Four Constructions of the Holocaust in Israeli Political Culture” Contemporary Jewry (April 2017) Vol. 37: 125–170. 

Response from Jeffrey Kopstein / Response from Dan Michman et al / Response from Avinoam J. Patt / Response from Yael Zerubavel / Lustick response to comments

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• "Making Sense of the Nakba: Ari Shavit, Baruch Marzel, and Zionist Claims to Territory," Journal of Palestine Studies Vol. XLIV, No. 2, Winter 2015: 7-27.
• "Places vs. Spaces for Palestinians and Jews," Perspectives, Spring 2014.
• "Mah Shechashuv ze Ketzad Sofrim:  Manipulatziot Statistiot Kepitaron le 'Ba'ayah Hademographi' shel Yisrael," HaMerchav HaTziburi, 8, Winter 2014.
• "What Counts is the Counting: Statistical Manipulation as a Solution to Israel’s 'Demographic Problem'" The Middle East Journal, Vol. 67, No. 2, Spring 2013. 
• "Review of Party Competition: An Agent-Based Model." Perspectives on Politics, December 2012: 1026-1028.
• "America and the Regional Powers in a Transforming Middle East," with F. Gregory Gause, III. Middle East Policy. Vol XIX, No. 2, Summer 2012. 
• "Institutional Rigidity and Evolutionary Theory: Trapped on a Local Maximum" Cliodynamics: The Journal of Theoretical and Mathematical History. 2 (2) 2011.
• Sergio DellaPergola, "When Scholarship Disturbs Narrative: Ian Lustick on Israel's Migration Balance," Israel Studies Review, Vol. 26, Is. 2, Winter 2011: 1-20. (A critical response to "Israel's Migration Balance: Demography, Politics, and Ideology.")
• Ian Lustick, "Leaving the Villa and Touching a Raw Nerve," Israel Studies Review, Vol. 26, Is. 2, Winter 2011: 21-27. (A response to DellaPergola's critique.)
• "Israel's Migration Balance: Demography, Politics, and Ideology," Israel Studies Review, Vol. 26, Is. 1, Summer 2011: 33-65.
• "Tetlock and Counterfactuals: Saving Methodological Ambition from Empirical Findings," Critical Review, 22: 4, 427-447.
• "Secession of the Center: A Virtual Probe of the Prospects for Punjabi Secessionism in Pakistan and the Secession of Punjabistan," Journal of Artificial Societies and Social Simulation, Vol 14, No. 1, January 2011.
• "Taking Evolution Seriously: Evolutionary Theory and Historical Institutionalism," Polity, January 2011.
• Review of books on Arabs in Israel by Yitzhak Reiter and Ra'anan Cohen, Middle East Journal, Winter 2010.
• "Abstractions, Ensembles, and Virtualizations: Simplicity and Complexity in Agent-Based Modeling." Comparative Politics, January 2009.  Vol. 41, no. 2. (with Dan Miodownik)
• "Abandoning the Iron Wall: Israel and the Middle Eastern 'Muck,'" Middle East Policy, September 2008.
• "Israel's Future: The Time Factor.  A Debate between Efraim Inbar and Ian S. Lustick," Israel Studies Forum, Volume 23, Issue 1, Summer 2008: 3-11.
• "Fractured Fairy Tale: The War on Terror and the Emperor's New Clothes," Homeland Security Affairs III, no. 1, February 2007.
• "Negotiating Truth:  The Holocaust, Lehavdil, and al-Nakba," Journal of International Affairs, Vol. 60, no. 1 (Fall/Winter 2006) pp. 51-80. 
• "Defining Violence:  A Plausibility Probe Using Agent-Based Modeling," Paper prepared for LiCEP, Princeton University, May12-14, 2006
• "Secessionism in Multicultural States: Does Sharing Power Prevent or Encourage It?" Co-authored with Dan Miodownik and Roy J. Eidelson. American Political Science Review. Vol. 98, No. 2. May 2004, pp. 209-229.
• "Yerushalayim, al-Quds and the Wizard of Oz: Facing the Problem of Jerusalem after Camp David II and the al-Aqsa Intifada." The Journal of Israeli History, Vol.23, No.2, Autumn 2004, pp. 200–215.
• "Through Blood and Fire Shall Peace Arise." Tikkun, Vol. 17, No. 3., pp. 13-19.
• "Israel as a Non-Arab State: The Political Implications of Mass Immigration of Non-Jews," Middle East Journal, Vol. 53, No. 3, Special Issue on Israel (Summer, 1999), pp. 417-433.
• “Lijphart, Lakatos, and Consociationalism,” World Politics, Vol. 50 (October 1997) pp. 88-117. 
• "The Absence of Middle Eastern Great Powers," International Organization, Vol. 51, No. 4 (Autumn, 1997), pp. 653-683.
• “Israeli History: Who is Fabricating What?” (Review of Fabricating Israeli History: The 'New Historians' by Efraim Karsh), Survival, Autumn 1997, pp. 156-166.
• (Read Efraim Karsh's response to the review)
• "Has Israel Annexed East Jerusalem?" Middle East Policy (January 1997)
• "Hegemonic Beliefs and Territorial Rights." International Journal of Intercultural Relations, Vol. 20 (1996), pp. 1-14.
• "Fundamentalism, Politicized Religion and Pietism" MESA Bulletin, 30. (1996)
• "To Build and to Be Built By: Israel and the Hidden Logic of the Iron Wall," Israel Studies, Vol. I, No. 1, 1996, pp. 196-223.
• "State-Building Failure in British Ireland and French Algeria," Berkeley Institute of International Studies, 1985.
• “Israel and the West Bank after Elon Moreh:  The Mechanics of De Facto Annexation,” The Middle East Journal, Vol. 35, no. 4 (Autumn 1981) pp. 557-77.

Selected Chapters in Edited Volumes

• One-State Reality: Israel as the State that Rules the Lands and Populations Living Between the Mediterranean Sea and the Jordan River, In Israel/Palestine:  Exploring a One-State Reality (POMEPS Studies 41:  July 2020)
• "Thinking Counterfactually and with Discipline" in Interpretive Quantification, J. Samuel Barkin and Laura Sjoberg, ed. (Ann Arbor: University Michigan Press, 2017) pp. 145-173.
• "Zionist Theories of Peace" in Israel and Its Palestinian Citizens, Nadim N. Rouhana, ed (Cambridge: Cambridge University Press, 2017) pp. 39-72. (with Matthew Berkman) 
• "Deploying Constructivism for the Analysis of Rare Events:  How Possible is the Emergence of 'Punjabistan'?" in Constructivist Theories of Ethnic Politics, Kanchan Chandra, ed. (Oxford:  Oxford University Press, 2012) pp. 422-451.
• "Yerushalayim, al-Quds, and the Wizard of Oz: The Problem of Jerusalem after Camp David II and the Aqsa Intifada," in Jerusalem: Idea and Reality, Tamar Mayer and Suleiman A. Mourad, eds. London: Routledge, 2008. pp. 283-302.
• "The War on Terror:  When the Response is the Catastrophe," in Emergency Management in Higher Education:  Current Practices and Conversations, Jessica A. Hubbard, ed.  Fairfax, VA:  The Public Entity Risk Institute, 2008. pp. 73-98. (Read this as a conference paper presented at the Emergency Management Higher Education Conference, Emergency Management Institute, June 4-7, 2007)
• "Hegemony and the Riddle of Nationalism: The Dialectics of Political Identity in the Middle East" Ethnic Conflict and International Politics in the Middle East, Leonard Binder, ed. Gainsville, FL: University Press of Florida, 1999. pp.332-359. (Read this chapter as a working paper) (Read it as published in Logos, Summer 2002, Vol 1, #3.)